How accurate are the odds?

We record the market's probabilities for every match at kickoff, then check them against the result. Over 2,723 matches, results land where the odds said they would.

Matches tracked

2,723

Odds taken at kickoff

Favourite won

54%

Of every match

Market said 60–70%

65%

Is how often it happened

The odds against the results

Every win, draw and loss chance, grouped by what the market said. If the odds are honest, the two numbers on each row match.

Market saidIt happenedOutcomes

0–10% 5% 440

10–20% 17% 1321

20–30% 25% 2789

30–40% 34% 1212

40–50% 44% 929

50–60% 55% 637

60–70% 65% 416

70–80% 75% 238

80–90% 87% 130

90–100% 96% 57

Average the market said How often it happened

Recent results

Nov 15, 2026 CD Eldense vs CE SabadellLa Liga 2 Market: CD Eldense 36% CD Eldense Nov 15, 2026 SD Eibar vs CádizLa Liga 2 Market: SD Eibar 64% Draw Nov 15, 2026 Suriname vs EswatiniFifa Friendly Market: Suriname 71% Suriname Nov 15, 2026 Finland vs San MarinoUEFA Nations League Market: Finland 97% Finland Nov 15, 2026 Belarus vs AlbaniaUEFA Nations League Market: Albania 47% Albania Nov 15, 2026 Arsenal WFC vs London City LionessesWomen's Super League Market: Arsenal WFC 55% Draw Nov 15, 2026 Cosenza Calcio vs CasertanaSerie C Market: Casertana 42% Cosenza Calcio Nov 15, 2026 Barletta Calcio vs Altamura Societa' Sportiva SRLSerie C Market: Barletta Calcio 51% Barletta Calcio Nov 15, 2026 Ravenna FC 1913 vs ForliSerie C Market: Ravenna FC 1913 72% Ravenna FC 1913 Nov 15, 2026 US Pergolettese Crema vs Pro Vercelli 1892Serie C Market: US Pergolettese Crema 44% Draw Nov 15, 2026 Juventus Next Gen vs Treviso FBC 1993Serie C Market: Treviso FBC 1993 43% Juventus Next Gen Nov 15, 2026 AS Cittadella vs US Folgore CarateseSerie C Market: AS Cittadella 74% Draw Nov 15, 2026 CD Lugo vs CD MirandesPrimera Federación Market: CD Lugo 40% CD Mirandes Nov 15, 2026 UD Logrones vs Arenas Club GetxoPrimera Federación Market: UD Logrones 66% Draw Nov 15, 2026 CF Algeciras vs AntequeraPrimera Federación Market: CF Algeciras 48% CF Algeciras Nov 15, 2026 FC Penafiel vs Lusitania FC LourosaLiga Portugal 2 Market: FC Penafiel 48% Lusitania FC Lourosa Nov 15, 2026 Granada vs UD Las PalmasLa Liga 2 Market: Granada 50% Granada Nov 15, 2026 Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes CopiapoPrimera B (Chile) Market: Deportes Copiapo 39% Draw Nov 15, 2026 Hamburger SV vs HNK Hajduk SplitClub Friendlies Market: Hamburger SV 57% Draw Nov 15, 2026 Zenit St. Petersburg vs TrabzonsporClub Friendlies Market: Zenit St. Petersburg 79% Zenit St. Petersburg Nov 15, 2026 Portimonense SAD vs Academica de CoimbraLiga Portugal 2 Market: Portimonense SAD 41% Draw Nov 15, 2026 Aston Villa WFC vs Birmingham City WFCWomen's Super League Market: Aston Villa WFC 47% Aston Villa WFC Nov 15, 2026 West Ham United vs Charlton AthleticWomen's Super League Market: West Ham United 78% West Ham United Nov 15, 2026 Burnley FC Women vs SouthamptonWomen's Super League 2 Market: Southampton 61% Southampton Nov 15, 2026 Nottingham Forest Lfc vs Leicester City WFCWomen's Super League 2 Market: Nottingham Forest Lfc 56% Draw Nov 15, 2026 Sunderland vs Newcastle United WFCWomen's Super League 2 Market: Newcastle United WFC 46% Draw Nov 15, 2026 Watford LFC vs Ipswich Town LfcWomen's Super League 2 Market: Ipswich Town Lfc 55% Ipswich Town Lfc Nov 15, 2026 Wolverhampton Wanderers WFC vs Durham LFCWomen's Super League 2 Market: Wolverhampton Wanderers WFC 56% Wolverhampton Wanderers WFC Nov 15, 2026 Cyprus vs MontenegroUEFA Nations League Market: Montenegro 40% Montenegro Nov 15, 2026 Latvia vs ArmeniaUEFA Nations League Market: Armenia 39% Draw

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