2026 FIFA World Cup
World Cup: France Stage of Elimination
World Cup: France Stage of Elimination. Closes July 19. Leaders: No at 90%, Yes at 10%.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which France is eliminated. If France wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If France is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest...
- Volume (30d)
- $24
- Open interest
- $24
- Closes
- Jul 19, 2026
- Outcomes
- 14
Price history
The book
Live odds
| Outcome | Price | Bid / Ask | Implied | 24h move | 30d volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? |
0.100 | 0.030/0.170 | 10.0% | $24 | ||
|
No
Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? |
0.900 | 0.830/0.970 | 90.0% | $24 | ||
|
Yes
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? |
0.195 | 0.090/0.300 | 19.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? |
0.805 | 0.700/0.910 | 80.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? |
0.245 | 0.090/0.400 | 24.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? |
0.755 | 0.600/0.910 | 75.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? |
0.200 | 0.090/0.310 | 20.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? |
0.800 | 0.690/0.910 | 80.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? |
0.205 | 0.110/0.300 | 20.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? |
0.795 | 0.700/0.890 | 79.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? |
0.160 | 0.060/0.260 | 16.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? |
0.840 | 0.740/0.940 | 84.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will France win the World Cup? |
0.175 | 0.100/0.250 | 17.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will France win the World Cup? |
0.825 | 0.750/0.900 | 82.5% | $0 |
Order book
About this market
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Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.
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