2026 FIFA World Cup — final odds and results
32 teams, 64 matches, three host countries. Final Polymarket prices on every outright, group winner, and top-scorer race, as they closed.
Tournament winner
1
Spain
100.0%
2
Peru
0.0%
3
Any Other Team
0.0%
4
Team AG
0.0%
5
Team AH
0.0%
6
Team AI
0.0%
7
Team AJ
0.0%
8
Team AK
0.0%
9
Team AL
0.0%
10
Team AM
0.0%
11
Team AN
0.0%
12
Team AO
0.0%
13
England
0.0%
14
France
0.0%
15
Brazil
0.0%
16
Argentina
0.0%
17
Germany
0.0%
18
Portugal
0.0%
19
Netherlands
0.0%
20
Italy
0.0%
21
USA
0.0%
22
Uruguay
0.0%
23
Mexico
0.0%
24
Belgium
0.0%
25
Colombia
0.0%
26
Japan
0.0%
27
Norway
0.0%
28
Canada
0.0%
29
Tunisia
0.0%
30
Ecuador
0.0%
31
Paraguay
0.0%
32
New Zealand
0.0%
Group stage
Click a group for full per-team odds, group-winner prices, and reach-knockouts probabilities.
The field, by tier
Longshots
below 2%31 teams, led by Peru at 0.0%.
- Peru0.0%
- Any Other Team0.0%
- Team AG0.0%
- Team AH0.0%
- Team AI0.0%
- Team AJ0.0%
- Team AK0.0%
- Team AL0.0%
- Team AM0.0%
- Team AN0.0%
- Team AO0.0%
- England0.0%
- France0.0%
- Brazil0.0%
- Argentina0.0%
- Germany0.0%
- Portugal0.0%
- Netherlands0.0%
- Italy0.0%
- USA0.0%
- Uruguay0.0%
- Mexico0.0%
- Belgium0.0%
- Colombia0.0%
- Japan0.0%
- Norway0.0%
- Canada0.0%
- Tunisia0.0%
- Ecuador0.0%
- Paraguay0.0%
- New Zealand0.0%
Other World Cup markets
- World Cup 2030: Location of Final
- Morocco vs. Haiti - Player Props
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- New Zealand vs. Egypt - Player Props
- Justin Bieber monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?
- Switzerland vs. Canada - Player Props
- Scotland vs. Brazil - Player Props
- Morocco vs. Haiti - Total Corners
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic - Total Corners
- World Cup Group J Winner
- Czechia vs. Mexico - Player Props
- World Cup Group A Winner
How to read these prices
Each contender's price is what the market pays for a $1 share if they lift the trophy. A price of 0.18 means the market gives Brazil an 18% chance of winning. Add every team's price together and you get close to $1, with the small overshoot covering the spread.
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