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2026 FIFA World Cup

32 teams, 64 matches, three host countries. Live odds on every outright, group winner, and top-scorer race.

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Tournament winner $1.43B traded in the last 30 days

1 France 17.5% 2 Spain 14.6% 3 Portugal 10.8% 4 England 10.5% 5 Argentina 8.5% 6 Brazil 6.7% 7 Germany 6.3% 8 Netherlands 4.9% 9 Norway 2.5% 10 Morocco 2.1% 11 USA 2.1% 12 Japan 1.8% 13 Belgium 1.8% 14 Colombia 1.6% 15 Mexico 1.2% 16 Croatia 0.9% 17 Switzerland 0.9% 18 Uruguay 0.7% 19 Senegal 0.7% 20 Ivory Coast 0.5% 21 Sweden 0.5% 22 Turkiye 0.4% 23 Austria 0.4% 24 Ecuador 0.4% 25 South Korea 0.4% 26 Australia 0.4% 27 Scotland 0.2% 28 Egypt 0.2% 29 Canada 0.2% 30 Congo DR 0.1% 31 Czechia 0.1% 32 Paraguay 0.1%
Every team's odds › Top scorer race ›

Group stage

Click a group for full per-team odds, group-winner prices, and reach-knockouts probabilities.

Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Group F Group G Group H Group I Group J Group K Group L

The field, by tier grouped by implied probability

Top tier

10% or higher

4 teams, led by France at 17.5%.

  • France17.5%
  • Spain14.6%
  • Portugal10.8%
  • England10.5%

Second tier

5 to 10%

3 teams, led by Argentina at 8.5%.

  • Argentina8.5%
  • Brazil6.7%
  • Germany6.3%

Dark horses

2 to 5%

4 teams, led by Netherlands at 4.9%.

  • Netherlands4.9%
  • Norway2.5%
  • Morocco2.1%
  • USA2.1%

Longshots

below 2%

21 teams, led by Japan at 1.8%.

  • Japan1.8%
  • Belgium1.8%
  • Colombia1.6%
  • Mexico1.2%
  • Croatia0.9%
  • Switzerland0.9%
  • Uruguay0.7%
  • Senegal0.7%
  • Ivory Coast0.5%
  • Sweden0.5%
  • Turkiye0.4%
  • Austria0.4%
  • Ecuador0.4%
  • South Korea0.4%
  • Australia0.4%
  • Scotland0.2%
  • Egypt0.2%
  • Canada0.2%
  • Congo DR0.1%
  • Czechia0.1%
  • Paraguay0.1%

Other World Cup markets

How to read these prices

Each contender's price is what the market pays for a $1 share if they lift the trophy. A price of 0.18 means the market gives Brazil an 18% chance of winning. Add every team's price together and you get close to $1, with the small overshoot covering the spread.

Click into a row to trade. Your wallet signs the order. We forward it to Polymarket with our builder fee attached.