2026 World Cup teams
Live tournament-winner odds for every nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, sourced from the Polymarket order book and updated tick by tick. Click into any team for their group-stage prices and a one-click trade.
Every team, ranked by tournament odds
1
France
Group I
17.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
67.5%
2
Spain
Group H
16.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
79.5%
3
England
Group L
11.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
70.5%
4
Portugal
Group K
9.6%
to win the cup
Group winner
66.0%
5
Argentina
Group J
9.0%
to win the cup
Group winner
72.5%
6
Brazil
Group C
8.3%
to win the cup
Group winner
74.5%
7
Germany
Group E
5.7%
to win the cup
Group winner
69.0%
8
Netherlands
Group F
4.0%
to win the cup
Group winner
55.5%
9
Norway
Group I
2.5%
to win the cup
Group winner
22.5%
10
Belgium
Group G
1.9%
to win the cup
Group winner
67.5%
11
Japan
Group F
1.8%
to win the cup
Group winner
25.5%
12
Colombia
Group K
1.8%
to win the cup
Group winner
28.5%
13
Morocco
Group C
1.6%
to win the cup
Group winner
18.0%
14
Mexico
Group A
1.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
51.5%
15
USA
Group D
1.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
39.0%
16
Uruguay
Group H
1.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
17.5%
17
Turkiye
1.1%
to win the cup
18
Switzerland
Group B
1.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
55.5%
19
Croatia
Group L
0.9%
to win the cup
Group winner
22.5%
20
Ecuador
Group E
0.9%
to win the cup
Group winner
21.0%
21
Senegal
Group I
0.7%
to win the cup
Group winner
9.5%
22
Austria
Group J
0.5%
to win the cup
Group winner
18.5%
23
Sweden
Group F
0.5%
to win the cup
Group winner
13.5%
24
Canada
Group B
0.4%
to win the cup
Group winner
29.5%
25
Ivory Coast
Group E
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
11.5%
26
Scotland
Group C
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
7.2%
27
South Korea
Group A
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
21.5%
28
Egypt
Group G
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
18.5%
29
Paraguay
Group D
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
17.5%
30
Ghana
Group L
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
6.3%
31
Czechia
Group A
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
21.5%
32
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Group B
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
11.5%
33
Iran
Group G
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
10.5%
34
Australia
Group D
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
9.2%
35
Algeria
Group J
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
8.2%
36
Uzbekistan
Group K
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
2.5%
37
Cape Verde
Group H
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
1.1%
38
Qatar
Group B
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
2.5%
39
New Zealand
Group G
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
3.5%
40
Saudi Arabia
Group H
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
2.7%
41
Iraq
Group I
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
1.1%
42
Congo DR
0.1%
to win the cup
43
Haiti
Group C
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
0.8%
44
Tunisia
Group F
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
6.0%
45
South Africa
Group A
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
6.6%
46
Panama
Group L
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
2.1%
47
Curaçao
Group E
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
0.7%
48
Jordan
Group J
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
1.2%
How these prices work
Each price is what the Polymarket order book is paying for a $1 share if the team wins. A 0.18 price means the market gives that team an 18% chance. If you sum every team's price you land near $1 — the small overshoot is the bid-ask spread. We pull these prices live; the number you see is the number an order would fill at.
Trading is non-custodial: your wallet signs every order, the funds never touch us, and a 0.5% builder fee on each trade is the only revenue we take.