2026 FIFA World Cup
World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16
World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16. Closes July 4. Leaders: Yes at 72%, No at 28%. 30-day volume: $39.2k.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET...
- Volume (30d)
- $39.2k
- Open interest
- $36.2k
- Closes
- Jul 04, 2026
- Outcomes
- 96
Price history
The book
Live odds
| Outcome | Price | Bid / Ask | Implied | 24h move | 30d volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.725 | 0.710/0.740 | 72.5% | -4.5% | $9.0k | |
|
No
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.275 | 0.260/0.290 | 27.5% | +4.5% | $9.0k | |
|
Yes
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.690 | 0.680/0.700 | 69.0% | -6.5% | $9.0k | |
|
No
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.310 | 0.300/0.320 | 31.0% | +6.5% | $9.0k | |
|
Yes
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.795 | 0.780/0.810 | 79.5% | -4.5% | $4.0k | |
|
No
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.205 | 0.190/0.220 | 20.5% | +4.5% | $4.0k | |
|
Yes
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.730 | 0.720/0.740 | 73.0% | -3.0% | $3.1k | |
|
No
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.270 | 0.260/0.280 | 27.0% | +3.0% | $3.1k | |
|
Yes
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.795 | 0.790/0.800 | 79.5% | -4.5% | $2.5k | |
|
No
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.205 | 0.200/0.210 | 20.5% | +4.5% | $2.5k | |
|
Yes
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.700 | 0.680/0.720 | 70.0% | -6.5% | $2.0k | |
|
No
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.300 | 0.280/0.320 | 30.0% | +6.5% | $2.0k | |
|
Yes
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.555 | 0.550/0.560 | 55.5% | -17.0% | $1.1k | |
|
No
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.445 | 0.440/0.450 | 44.5% | +17.0% | $1.1k | |
|
Yes
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.455 | 0.440/0.470 | 45.5% | +2.5% | $1.1k | |
|
No
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.545 | 0.530/0.560 | 54.5% | -2.5% | $1.1k | |
|
Yes
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.605 | 0.590/0.620 | 60.5% | -8.5% | $887 | |
|
No
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.395 | 0.380/0.410 | 39.5% | +8.5% | $887 | |
|
Yes
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.385 | 0.380/0.390 | 38.5% | +0.5% | $871 | |
|
No
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.615 | 0.610/0.620 | 61.5% | -0.5% | $871 | |
|
Yes
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.480 | 0.460/0.500 | 48.0% | +2.5% | $686 | |
|
No
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.520 | 0.500/0.540 | 52.0% | -2.5% | $686 | |
|
Yes
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.445 | 0.440/0.450 | 44.5% | +2.0% | $616 | |
|
No
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.555 | 0.550/0.560 | 55.5% | -2.0% | $616 | |
|
Yes
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.410 | 0.400/0.420 | 41.0% | +2.0% | $562 | |
|
No
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.590 | 0.580/0.600 | 59.0% | -2.0% | $562 | |
|
Yes
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.515 | 0.500/0.530 | 51.5% | +1.5% | $543 | |
|
No
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.485 | 0.470/0.500 | 48.5% | -1.5% | $543 | |
|
Yes
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.575 | 0.550/0.600 | 57.5% | -10.0% | $497 | |
|
No
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.425 | 0.400/0.450 | 42.5% | +10.0% | $497 | |
|
Yes
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.760 | 0.750/0.770 | 76.0% | -5.5% | $460 | |
|
No
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.240 | 0.230/0.250 | 24.0% | +5.5% | $460 | |
|
Yes
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.315 | 0.300/0.330 | 31.5% | +12.5% | $409 | |
|
No
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.685 | 0.670/0.700 | 68.5% | -12.5% | $409 | |
|
Yes
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.540 | 0.530/0.550 | 54.0% | -16.5% | $395 | |
|
No
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.460 | 0.450/0.470 | 46.0% | +16.5% | $395 | |
|
Yes
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.415 | 0.400/0.430 | 41.5% | +3.5% | $293 | |
|
No
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.585 | 0.570/0.600 | 58.5% | -3.5% | $293 | |
|
Yes
Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.140 | 0.110/0.170 | 14.0% | +2.0% | $250 | |
|
No
Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.860 | 0.830/0.890 | 86.0% | -2.0% | $250 | |
|
Yes
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.370 | 0.350/0.390 | 37.0% | $213 | ||
|
No
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.630 | 0.610/0.650 | 63.0% | $213 | ||
|
Yes
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.330 | 0.320/0.340 | 33.0% | +1.0% | $207 | |
|
No
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.670 | 0.660/0.680 | 67.0% | -1.0% | $207 | |
|
Yes
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.445 | 0.430/0.460 | 44.5% | $106 | ||
|
No
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.555 | 0.540/0.570 | 55.5% | $106 | ||
|
Yes
Will Panama reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.085 | 0.050/0.120 | 8.5% | $78 | ||
|
No
Will Panama reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.915 | 0.880/0.950 | 91.5% | $78 | ||
|
Yes
Will Jordan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.060 | 0.040/0.080 | 6.0% | -42.0% | $62 | |
|
No
Will Jordan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.940 | 0.920/0.960 | 94.0% | +42.0% | $62 | |
|
Yes
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.170 | 0.140/0.200 | 17.0% | -0.5% | $50 | |
|
No
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.830 | 0.800/0.860 | 83.0% | +0.5% | $50 | |
|
Yes
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.135 | 0.120/0.150 | 13.5% | $35 | ||
|
No
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.865 | 0.850/0.880 | 86.5% | $35 | ||
|
Yes
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.280 | 0.250/0.310 | 28.0% | -2.0% | $30 | |
|
No
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.720 | 0.690/0.750 | 72.0% | +2.0% | $30 | |
|
Yes
Will Curacao reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.025 | 0.020/0.030 | 2.5% | -23.0% | $30 | |
|
No
Will Curacao reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.975 | 0.970/0.980 | 97.5% | +23.0% | $30 | |
|
Yes
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.245 | 0.220/0.270 | 24.5% | -1.5% | $27 | |
|
No
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.755 | 0.730/0.780 | 75.5% | +1.5% | $27 | |
|
Yes
Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.405 | 0.380/0.430 | 40.5% | -0.5% | $22 | |
|
No
Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.595 | 0.570/0.620 | 59.5% | +0.5% | $22 | |
|
Yes
Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.085 | 0.060/0.110 | 8.5% | -39.5% | $21 | |
|
No
Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.915 | 0.890/0.940 | 91.5% | +39.5% | $21 | |
|
Yes
Will Iraq reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.050 | 0.040/0.060 | 5.0% | -42.0% | $7 | |
|
No
Will Iraq reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.950 | 0.940/0.960 | 95.0% | +42.0% | $7 | |
|
Yes
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.260 | 0.230/0.290 | 26.0% | -1.0% | $6 | |
|
No
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.740 | 0.710/0.770 | 74.0% | +1.0% | $6 | |
|
Yes
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.280 | 0.250/0.310 | 28.0% | -1.0% | $4 | |
|
No
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.720 | 0.690/0.750 | 72.0% | +1.0% | $4 | |
|
Yes
Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.290 | 0.260/0.320 | 29.0% | -1.0% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.710 | 0.680/0.740 | 71.0% | +1.0% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.070 | 0.040/0.100 | 7.0% | -1.5% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.930 | 0.900/0.960 | 93.0% | +1.5% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.075 | 0.040/0.110 | 7.5% | -41.5% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.925 | 0.890/0.960 | 92.5% | +41.5% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.260 | 0.230/0.290 | 26.0% | -1.0% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.740 | 0.710/0.770 | 74.0% | +1.0% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.105 | 0.080/0.130 | 10.5% | -1.0% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.895 | 0.870/0.920 | 89.5% | +1.0% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.255 | 0.230/0.280 | 25.5% | -1.5% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.745 | 0.720/0.770 | 74.5% | +1.5% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Tunisia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.115 | 0.080/0.150 | 11.5% | -0.5% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Tunisia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.885 | 0.850/0.920 | 88.5% | +0.5% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Haiti reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.019 | 0.008/0.030 | 1.9% | -23.1% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Haiti reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.981 | 0.970/0.992 | 98.1% | +23.1% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.095 | 0.050/0.140 | 9.5% | -2.0% | $0 | |
|
No
Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.905 | 0.860/0.950 | 90.5% | +2.0% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.255 | 0.220/0.290 | 25.5% | -0.5% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.745 | 0.710/0.780 | 74.5% | +0.5% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.215 | 0.180/0.250 | 21.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.785 | 0.750/0.820 | 78.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.200 | 0.170/0.230 | 20.0% | -28.0% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.800 | 0.770/0.830 | 80.0% | +28.0% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.195 | 0.170/0.220 | 19.5% | +2.0% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
0.805 | 0.780/0.830 | 80.5% | -2.0% | $0 |
Order book
About this market
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Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.
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