2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Belgium Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Belgium Stage of Elimination. Closes July 19. Leaders: No at 74%, Yes at 26%.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Belgium is eliminated. If Belgium wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Belgium is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest...

Volume (30d)
$879
Open interest
$662
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Outcomes
14

Price history

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The book

Live odds

Outcome Price Bid / Ask Implied 24h move 30d volume
Yes
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
0.255 0.240/0.270
3.0¢
25.5%
+1.5% $595
No
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
0.745 0.730/0.760
3.0¢
74.5%
-1.5% $595
Yes
Will Belgium be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
0.055 0.020/0.090
7.0¢
5.5%
-0.5% $154
No
Will Belgium be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
0.945 0.910/0.980
7.0¢
94.5%
+0.5% $154
Yes
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
0.280 0.240/0.320
8.0¢
28.0%
-5.5% $129
No
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
0.720 0.680/0.760
8.0¢
72.0%
+5.5% $129
Yes
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
0.290 0.280/0.300
2.0¢
29.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
0.710 0.700/0.720
2.0¢
71.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
0.095 0.090/0.100
1.0¢
9.5%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
0.905 0.900/0.910
1.0¢
90.5%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Belgium win the World Cup?
0.058 0.037/0.078
4.1¢
5.8%
+1.4% $0
No
Will Belgium win the World Cup?
0.943 0.922/0.963
4.1¢
94.2%
-1.4% $0
Yes
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
0.059 0.032/0.086
5.4¢
5.9%
+1.5% $0
No
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
0.941 0.914/0.968
5.4¢
94.1%
-1.5% $0

Order book

Yes mid spread
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No mid spread
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About this market

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Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.

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