2026 FIFA World Cup
World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination
World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination. Closes July 19. Leaders: No at 76%, Yes at 24%. 30-day volume: $2.4k.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest...
- Volume (30d)
- $2.4k
- Open interest
- $1.5k
- Closes
- Jul 19, 2026
- Outcomes
- 14
Price history
The book
Live odds
| Outcome | Price | Bid / Ask | Implied | 24h move | 30d volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? |
0.235 | 0.230/0.240 | 23.5% | -2.5% | $971 | |
|
No
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? |
0.765 | 0.760/0.770 | 76.5% | +2.5% | $971 | |
|
Yes
Will Germany win the World Cup? |
0.080 | 0.050/0.110 | 8.0% | +3.0% | $599 | |
|
No
Will Germany win the World Cup? |
0.920 | 0.890/0.950 | 92.0% | -3.0% | $599 | |
|
Yes
Will Germany be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? |
0.029 | 0.021/0.038 | 2.9% | +0.4% | $537 | |
|
No
Will Germany be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? |
0.971 | 0.962/0.979 | 97.0% | -0.4% | $537 | |
|
Yes
Will Germany be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? |
0.165 | 0.160/0.170 | 16.5% | $263 | ||
|
No
Will Germany be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? |
0.835 | 0.830/0.840 | 83.5% | $263 | ||
|
Yes
Will Germany be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? |
0.135 | 0.110/0.160 | 13.5% | -0.5% | $60 | |
|
No
Will Germany be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? |
0.865 | 0.840/0.890 | 86.5% | +0.5% | $60 | |
|
Yes
Will Germany be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? |
0.075 | 0.060/0.090 | 7.5% | +0.5% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Germany be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? |
0.925 | 0.910/0.940 | 92.5% | -0.5% | $0 | |
|
Yes
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? |
0.345 | 0.340/0.350 | 34.5% | +1.5% | $0 | |
|
No
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? |
0.655 | 0.650/0.660 | 65.5% | -1.5% | $0 |
Order book
About this market
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Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.
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