2026 FIFA World Cup
World Cup: Highest-Ranking Nation Eliminated (Group Phase)
World Cup: Highest-Ranking Nation Eliminated (Group Phase). Closes June 29. Leaders: No at 86%, Yes at 14%.
This market will resolve to the nation with the highest FIFA World Ranking that fails to advance from the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The FIFA World Ranking in effect at the time of this market's creation will be used. “Eliminated in the group phase” means the nation does not advance to the knockout stage (i.e., does not finish first or second in its group...
- Volume (30d)
- $120
- Open interest
- $120
- Closes
- Jun 29, 2026
- Outcomes
- 54
Price history
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The book
Live odds
| Outcome | Price | Bid / Ask | Implied | 24h move | 30d volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
Will Canada (30) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.140 | 0.110/0.170 | 14.0% | $60 | ||
|
No
Will Canada (30) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.860 | 0.830/0.890 | 86.0% | $60 | ||
|
Yes
Will Australia (27) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.055 | 0.010/0.100 | 5.5% | $50 | ||
|
No
Will Australia (27) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.945 | 0.900/0.990 | 94.5% | $50 | ||
|
Yes
Will Austria (24) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.110 | -/- | 11.0% | $10 | ||
|
No
Will Austria (24) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.890 | -/- | 89.0% | $10 | ||
|
Yes
Will Netherlands (8) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.055 | 0.010/0.100 | 5.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Netherlands (8) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.945 | 0.900/0.990 | 94.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Belgium (9) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.031 | 0.002/0.060 | 3.1% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Belgium (9) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.969 | 0.940/0.998 | 96.9% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will USA (17) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.085 | -/- | 8.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will USA (17) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.915 | -/- | 91.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Türkiye (22) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.110 | -/- | 11.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Türkiye (22) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.890 | -/- | 89.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Egypt (29) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.026 | 0.002/0.050 | 2.6% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Egypt (29) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.974 | 0.950/0.998 | 97.4% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will France (3) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.030 | 0.010/0.050 | 3.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will France (3) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.970 | 0.950/0.990 | 97.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Brazil (6) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.035 | 0.010/0.060 | 3.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Brazil (6) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.965 | 0.940/0.990 | 96.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Germany (10) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.026 | 0.002/0.050 | 2.6% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Germany (10) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.974 | 0.950/0.998 | 97.4% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Croatia (11) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.105 | 0.010/0.200 | 10.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Croatia (11) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.895 | 0.800/0.990 | 89.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Mexico (14) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.026 | 0.002/0.050 | 2.6% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Mexico (14) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.974 | 0.950/0.998 | 97.4% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Uruguay (16) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.061 | 0.002/0.120 | 6.1% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Uruguay (16) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.939 | 0.880/0.998 | 93.9% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Korea Republic (25) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026... |
0.021 | 0.002/0.040 | 2.1% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Korea Republic (25) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026... |
0.979 | 0.960/0.998 | 97.9% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Spain (2) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.021 | 0.002/0.040 | 2.1% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Spain (2) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.979 | 0.960/0.998 | 97.9% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Argentina (1) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.040 | 0.020/0.060 | 4.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Argentina (1) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.960 | 0.940/0.980 | 96.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Japan (18) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.160 | 0.120/0.200 | 16.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Japan (18) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World... |
0.840 | 0.800/0.880 | 84.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Switzerland (19) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.050 | -/- | 5.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Switzerland (19) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.950 | -/- | 95.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will IR Iran (20) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.205 | 0.010/0.400 | 20.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will IR Iran (20) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.795 | 0.600/0.990 | 79.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Ecuador (23) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.065 | -/- | 6.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Ecuador (23) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.935 | -/- | 93.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Algeria (28) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.026 | 0.002/0.050 | 2.6% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Algeria (28) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.974 | 0.950/0.998 | 97.4% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will England (4) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.036 | 0.002/0.070 | 3.6% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will England (4) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.964 | 0.930/0.998 | 96.4% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Portugal (5) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.035 | 0.010/0.060 | 3.5% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Portugal (5) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.965 | 0.940/0.990 | 96.5% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Morocco (7) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.120 | 0.100/0.140 | 12.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Morocco (7) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.880 | 0.860/0.900 | 88.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Colombia (13) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.060 | -/- | 6.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Colombia (13) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.940 | -/- | 94.0% | $0 | ||
|
Yes
Will Senegal (15) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.210 | 0.120/0.300 | 21.0% | $0 | ||
|
No
Will Senegal (15) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA... |
0.790 | 0.700/0.880 | 79.0% | $0 |
Order book
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About this market
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Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.
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