2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Norway Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Norway Stage of Elimination. Closes July 19. Leaders: No at 89%, Yes at 11%. 30-day volume: $3.6k.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Norway is eliminated. If Norway wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Norway is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest...

Volume (30d)
$3.6k
Open interest
$2.5k
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Outcomes
14

Price history

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The book

Live odds

Outcome Price Bid / Ask Implied 24h move 30d volume
Yes
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
0.110 0.070/0.150
8.0¢
11.0%
+2.0% $1.8k
No
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
0.890 0.850/0.930
8.0¢
89.0%
-2.0% $1.8k
Yes
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
0.345 0.340/0.350
1.0¢
34.5%
$464
No
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
0.655 0.650/0.660
1.0¢
65.5%
$464
Yes
Will Norway be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
0.155 0.120/0.190
7.0¢
15.5%
+2.5% $422
No
Will Norway be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
0.845 0.810/0.880
7.0¢
84.5%
-2.5% $422
Yes
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
0.265 0.240/0.290
5.0¢
26.5%
+0.5% $415
No
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
0.735 0.710/0.760
5.0¢
73.5%
-0.5% $415
Yes
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
0.145 0.140/0.150
1.0¢
14.5%
$381
No
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
0.855 0.850/0.860
1.0¢
85.5%
$381
Yes
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
0.034 0.021/0.047
2.6¢
3.4%
-0.1% $139
No
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
0.966 0.953/0.979
2.6¢
96.6%
+0.1% $139
Yes
Will Norway win the World Cup?
0.021 0.021/0.022
0.1¢
2.1%
-1.5% $60
No
Will Norway win the World Cup?
0.979 0.978/0.979
0.1¢
97.9%
+1.5% $60

Order book

Yes mid spread
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No mid spread
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About this market

Front of Goal is a soccer-first interface to Polymarket, the largest prediction market in the world. We do not hold your money or run the markets. Read more about how it works.

Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.

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