2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Portugal Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Portugal Stage of Elimination. Closes July 19. Leaders: No at 62%, Yes at 38%.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Portugal is eliminated. If Portugal wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Portugal is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the...

Volume (30d)
$519
Open interest
$185
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Outcomes
14

Price history

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The book

Live odds

Outcome Price Bid / Ask Implied 24h move 30d volume
Yes
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
0.385 0.180/0.590
41.0¢
38.5%
$339
No
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
0.615 0.410/0.820
41.0¢
61.5%
$339
Yes
Will Portugal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
0.085 0.040/0.130
9.0¢
8.5%
$40
No
Will Portugal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
0.915 0.870/0.960
9.0¢
91.5%
$40
Yes
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
0.300 0.100/0.500
40.0¢
30.0%
$30
No
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
0.700 0.500/0.900
40.0¢
70.0%
$30
Yes
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
0.270 0.100/0.440
34.0¢
27.0%
$30
No
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
0.730 0.560/0.900
34.0¢
73.0%
$30
Yes
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
0.160 0.030/0.290
26.0¢
16.0%
$30
No
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
0.840 0.710/0.970
26.0¢
84.0%
$30
Yes
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
0.135 0.030/0.240
21.0¢
13.5%
$30
No
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
0.865 0.760/0.970
21.0¢
86.5%
$30
Yes
Will Portugal win the World Cup?
0.175 0.060/0.290
23.0¢
17.5%
$30
No
Will Portugal win the World Cup?
0.825 0.710/0.940
23.0¢
82.5%
$30

Order book

Yes mid spread
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No mid spread
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About this market

Front of Goal is a soccer-first interface to Polymarket, the largest prediction market in the world. We do not hold your money or run the markets. Read more about how it works.

Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.

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