2026 FIFA World Cup
World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination
World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination. Closes July 19. Leaders: Yes at 84%, No at 16%. 30-day volume: $1.8k.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to...
- Volume (30d)
- $1.8k
- Open interest
- $903
- Closes
- Jul 19, 2026
- Outcomes
- 14
Price history
The book
Live odds
| Outcome | Price | Bid / Ask | Implied | 24h move | 30d volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? |
0.845 | 0.830/0.860 | 84.5% | +3.0% | $639 | |
|
No
Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? |
0.155 | 0.140/0.170 | 15.5% | -3.0% | $639 | |
|
Yes
Will South Africa win the World Cup? |
0.003 | 0.002/0.003 | 0.2% | -0.2% | $259 | |
|
No
Will South Africa win the World Cup? |
0.998 | 0.997/0.998 | 99.8% | +0.2% | $259 | |
|
Yes
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? |
0.035 | 0.010/0.061 | 3.5% | -1.4% | $236 | |
|
No
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? |
0.965 | 0.939/0.990 | 96.5% | +1.4% | $236 | |
|
Yes
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? |
0.015 | 0.010/0.021 | 1.6% | -1.8% | $234 | |
|
No
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? |
0.985 | 0.979/0.990 | 98.5% | +1.8% | $234 | |
|
Yes
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? |
0.014 | 0.009/0.019 | 1.4% | -0.1% | $179 | |
|
No
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? |
0.986 | 0.981/0.991 | 98.6% | +0.1% | $179 | |
|
Yes
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? |
0.070 | 0.040/0.100 | 7.0% | -0.5% | $161 | |
|
No
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? |
0.930 | 0.900/0.960 | 93.0% | +0.5% | $161 | |
|
Yes
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? |
0.075 | 0.040/0.110 | 7.5% | -1.5% | $123 | |
|
No
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? |
0.925 | 0.890/0.960 | 92.5% | +1.5% | $123 |
Order book
About this market
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Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.
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